People of All Ages and Incomes Would Lose Coverage Under House Bill, CBO Data Show
23 Million Coverage Loss Includes 3 Million Children
End Notes
[1] Congressional Budget Office, “American Health Care Act of 2017,” May 24, 2017, https://www.cbo.gov/system/files/115th-congress-2017-2018/costestimate/hr1628aspassed.pdf.
[2] Estimates are based on calculations from Figure 2 of the CBO estimate, which shows uninsured rates for different groups under current law and the AHCA. The backup data for Figure 2 can be downloaded at https://www.cbo.gov/publication/52752. CBO also provided estimates of the total number of non-elderly adults in backup data for its earlier score of the House bill, available at https://www.cbo.gov/publication/52486.
[3] CBO provided detailed backup data only for its adult coverage estimates, so we derived the number of children losing coverage by subtraction. Due to ambiguities created by rounding, the number of children losing coverage could range from 2.8 million to 3.7 million.
[4] Joan Alker and Alisa Chester, “Children’s Health Coverage Rate Now at Historic High of 95 Percent,” Georgetown University Health Policy Institute Center for Children and Families, October 2016, https://ccf.georgetown.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/11/Kids-ACS-update-11-02-1.pdf.
[5] See for example Tami Luhby, “Who Wins and Who Loses Under Obamacare Replacement Bill,” CNN Money, March 9, 2017, http://money.cnn.com/2017/03/06/news/economy/republicans-obamacare-repeal-replacement-bill/index.html.
[6] This estimate was previously reported in Tricia Newman, Karen Pollitz, and Larry Levitt, “How ACA Repeal and Replace Proposals Could Affect Coverage and Premiums for Older Adults and Have Spillover Effects for Medicare,” Kaiser Family Foundation, June 5, 2017, http://www.kff.org/health-reform/issue-brief/how-aca-repeal-and-replace-proposals-could-affect-coverage-and-premiums-for-older-adults-and-have-spillover-effects-for-medicare/.
[7] Kelsey Avery, Kenneth Finegold, and Amelia Whitman, “Affordable Care Act Has Led to Historic, Widespread Increase in Health Insurance Coverage,” Department of Health and Human Services, September 29, 2016, https://aspe.hhs.gov/system/files/pdf/207946/ACAHistoricIncreaseCoverage.pdf.