End Notes
[1] Government Accountability Office (GAO), “Disaster Assistance High-Risk Series: Federal Response Workforce Readiness,” September 2, 2025, https://www.gao.gov/products/gao-25-108598; Bloomberg Law, “How DOGE Cuts May Hit Worker Safety, Pay Laws: The Brief,” April 2, 2025, https://news.bloomberglaw.com/business-and-practice/how-doge-cuts-hit-us-workers; Meg Tirrell and Brenda Goodman, “CDC Denies Milwaukee’s request for help with unsafe lead levels in public schools,” CNN, April 11, 2025, https://www.cnn.com/2025/04/11/health/cdc-milwaukee-schools-lead/; Lisa Rein, Meryl Kornfield, and Hannah Natanson, “How Social Security has gotten worse under Trump,” Washington Post, December 30, 2025, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/12/29/trump-social-security-cuts-customer-service/; Matthew Perronne, “FDA moves to rehire medical device, food safety and other staffers fired days earlier,” AP, February 24, 2025, https://apnews.com/article/fda-layoffs-trump-doge-rehired-medical-devices-85d4743e4ce88dbe3b99c813bad4b702.
[2] Office of Personnel Management (OPM), “How has the size of the federal workforce changed over time?” https://data.opm.gov/explore-data/analytics/workforce-changes. On January 8, OPM released monthly EHRI Status and Dynamics data on the federal workforce through November 2025. Previously, only data through March 2025 had been made public. OPM announced that it will make updated data available monthly going forward (i.e., December 2025 data is expected to be available in February 2026).
[3] In December 2025, the seasonally adjusted estimate of the number of federal employees except U.S. Postal Service made up 1.34 percent of total nonfarm employees. Over the past 30 years, the average monthly level was 1.53 percent, with the previous low at 1.40 percent in November 2000. The lowest monthly level in the first Trump Administration was 1.47 percent. See U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, “All Employees, Federal, Except U.S. Postal Service” (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091100001) and “All Employees, Total Nonfarm” (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PAYEMS), retrieved from FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, December 16, 2025.
[4] Bureau of Labor Statistics, “Employment, Hours, and Earnings from the Current Employment Statistics survey (National),” December 22, 2025, https://data.bls.gov/dataViewer/view/timeseries/CES9091000001;jsessionid=572B0C7C743C96F701DA7B05585B38C9.
[5] Kathleen Romig and Devin O’Connor, “Reassignment Won’t Fix the Largest-Ever Social Security Staffing Cut,” CBPP, June 23, 2025, https://www.cbpp.org/research/social-security/reassignment-wont-fix-the-largest-ever-social-security-staffing-cut; White House, “President’s Budget Historical Tables,” https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/information-resources/budget/historical-tables/ ; William Morton, “Social Security Administration (SSA) Staffing Levels: Data Brief,” Congressional Research Service, September 29, 2025, https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48725; Government Accountability Office (GAO), “Department of Education Staffing Levels Have Generally Decreased Over Time, while Contracting Levels Have Remained Relatively Stable,” June 12, 2017, https://www.gao.gov/assets/gao-17-669r.pdf.
[6] Sam Berger and Jacob Leibenluft, “Trump Administration’s Mass Layoffs of Federal Workers Are Illegal,” CBPP, May 2, 2025, https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-budget/trump-administrations-mass-layoffs-of-federal-workers-are-illegal.
[7] Congress.gov, “Full-Year Continuing Appropriations and Extensions Act, 2025” (P.L. 119-4), https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/1968.
[8] Brendan Duke et al., “2026 Appropriations Must Protect Against Further Partisan Cuts and Illegal Withholding of Funds,” CBPP, September 4, 2025, https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-budget/2026-appropriations-must-protect-against-further-partisan-cuts-and-illegal.
[9] Office of Personnel Management, “Deferred Resignation Email to Federal Employees,” January 28, 2025, https://www.opm.gov/about-us/fork/original-email-to-employees/.
[10] CourtListener, “Amended Complaint,” American Federation of Government Employees, American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees, and National Association of Government Employees, Inc. v. Charles Ezell and Office of Personnel Management, Case No. 1:25-cv-10276, March 31, 2025, https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.mad.280398/gov.uscourts.mad.280398.77.0.pdf.
[11] Aaron Pellish, ”Social Security data chief resigns after whistleblower complaint over DOGE data access,” Politico, updated September 2, 2025, https://www.politico.com/news/2025/08/29/social-security-data-chief-resigns-00537974; Jeff Stein et al., “Senior U.S. official exits after rift with Musk allies over payment system,” Washington Post, January 31, 2025, https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2025/01/31/elon-musk-treasury-department-payment-systems/; Eric Katz and Erich Wagner, “Final Schedule F regulations to describe civil service protections as ‘unconstitutional overcorrections,’” Government Executive, November 18, 2025, https://www.govexec.com/workforce/2025/11/final-schedule-f-regulations-describe-civil-service-protections-unconstitutional-overcorrections/409616/; Personnel Management Office, “Improving Performance, Accountability, and Responsiveness in the Civil Service,” April 23, 2025, https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2025/04/23/2025-06904/improving-performance-accountability-and-responsiveness-in-the-civil-service.
[12] Meryl Kornfield, Hannah Natanson, and Laura Meckler, ”The federal government is paying more than 154,000 people not to work,” Washington Post, July 31, 2025, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/07/31/federal-workers-doge-buyout-paid/; Office of Personnel Management, ”Guidance Regarding Deferred Resignation Program,” January 28, 2025, https://www.opm.gov/media/3oaf3vs0/opm-guidance-memo-re-deferred-resignation-program-01-28-25-final.pdf.
[13] Jory Heckman, “Over 11,000 VA health care employees apply to leave, but ‘very few’ eligible for separation incentives,” Federal News Network, May 8, 2025, https://federalnewsnetwork.com/hiring-retention/2025/05/over-11000-va-health-care-employees-apply-to-leave-but-very-few-eligible-for-separation-incentives/; Alessandra Malito, “Here’s how many Social Security workers are taking a buyout - so far,” Morningstar, March 18, 2025, https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/2025031866/heres-how-many-social-security-workers-are-taking-a-buyout-so-far; OPM, “Volunteer Separation Incentive Payments” (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/workforce-restructuring/voluntary-separation-incentive-payments/) and “Volunteer Early Retirement Authority” (https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/workforce-restructuring/voluntary-early-retirement-authority/).
[14] Greg Korte, “Federal workforce’s toll after a year of DOGE and Trump: 317,000,” Bloomberg, December 10, 2025, https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-12-10/federal-workforce-s-toll-after-a-year-of-doge-and-trump-317-000.
[15] Eileen Sullivan, “Mass Firing of Probationary Federal Employees Was Illegal, Judge Rules,” New York Times, September 13, 2025, https://www.nytimes.com/2025/09/13/us/politics/probationary-employees-firing-illegal.html.
[16] Eric Katz, “Trump’s mass probationary firings were illegal, judge concludes, but he won’t order re-hirings,” Government Executive, September 15, 2025, https://www.govexec.com/workforce/2025/09/trumps-mass-probationary-firings-were-illegal-judge-concludes-he-wont-order-re-hirings/408111/; Cristin Dorgelo et al., “Trump Administration’s Undercutting of Oversight Hurts Taxpayers and Beneficiaries,” CBPP, November 6, 2025, https://www.cbpp.org/research/federal-budget/trump-administrations-undercutting-of-oversight-hurts-taxpayers-and.
[17] Office of Management and Budget, “Federal Civilian Hiring Freeze Guidance,” January 20, 2025, https://www.opm.gov/media/zkebfxow/omb-opm-federal-civilian-hiring-freeze-guidance-1-20-2025-final.pdf.
[18] Scott Kupor, “Everyone Has a Plan – Until You Step Into the Ring,” OPM, November 21, 2025, https://www.opm.gov/news/secrets-of-opm/everyone-has-a-plan-until-you-step-into-the-ring/. OPM indicated that roughly 317,000 employees left and 68,000 were hired. Executive Order 14210, issued in February 2025, set a target of hiring no more than one new worker for every four workers who leave.
[19] Mike Stobbie, “Cuts have eliminated more than a dozen US government health-tracking programs,” AP, May 4, 2025, https://apnews.com/article/cdc-disease-tracking-health-surveillance-554eb9aa20b758714eba8b835dcde856; Tirrell and Goodman.
[20] GAO, “Disaster Assistance High-Risk Series: Federal Response Workforce Readiness.”
[21] Andrew Freedman, “Trump admin is ‘trying to put out a fire they started’ at Weather Service as a cold, snowy winter looms,” CNN, December 9, 2025, https://www.cnn.com/2025/12/09/weather/national-weather-service-hiring-gaps-winter-weather-storms-trump.
[22] National Sustainable Agriculture Coalition, “USDA Staffing Crisis: A Year of Losses and the Road Ahead,” December 17, 2025, https://sustainableagriculture.net/blog/usda-staffing-crisis-a-year-of-losses-and-the-road-ahead/.
[23] Tyler Kingkade, “Education Department has a backlog of 27,000 complaints about student loans,” NBC News, August 7, 2025, https://www.nbcnews.com/news/education/education-department-backlog-student-loan-complaints-rcna223508.
[24] Hannah Natanson, “Internal Forest Service report finds ‘unpassable trails, unsafe bridges,’” Washington Post, updated December 16, 2025, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/12/16/forest-service-trail-maintenance-crisis.
[25] National Parks Conservation Association, “Staffing Crisis at National Parks Reaches Breaking Point, New Data Shows 24% Decline in Permanent Workforce,” July 3, 2025, https://www.npca.org/articles/9551-staffing-crisis-at-national-parks-reaches-breaking-point-new-data-shows-24; Eileen Sullivan, “Trump Shrank Staffing of National Parks. See How Many Are Struggling,” New York Times, August 27, 2025, https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/27/us/politics/trump-cuts-national-parks.html. The staffing figures in this bullet are shown year over year because of the seasonal hiring nature of these agencies.
[26] While technical differences in personnel measures might explain a small share of this discrepancy, they are unlikely to account for much of the gap. (See Technical Note.)
[27] Stephen Groves, “Trump administration plans to cut 80,000 employees from Veterans Affairs, according to internal memo,” AP, updated March 5, 2025, https://apnews.com/article/veterans-affairs-cuts-doge-musk-trump-f587a6bc3db6a460e9c357592e165712.
[28] Department of Veterans Affairs, “VA to reduce staff by nearly 30K by end of FY2025,” July 7, 2025, https://news.va.gov/press-room/va-to-reduce-staff-by-nearly-30k-by-end-of-fy2025/.
[29] Meryl Kornfield, Hannah Natanson, and Lisa Rein, “VA plans to abruptly eliminate tens of thousands of health care jobs,” Washington Post, updated December 13, 2025, https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/12/13/va-veterans-affairs-job-cuts-trump/.
[30] White House, “Ensuring Continued Accountability in Federal Hiring,” October 15, 2025, https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/10/ensuring-continued-accountability-in-federal-hiring/.
[31] Tim Reid et al., “US government faces brain drain as 154,000 federal workers exit this week,” Reuters, September 7, 2025, https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/us-government-faces-brain-drain-154000-federal-workers-exit-this-week-2025-09-30/.
[32] Congress.gov, “H.R.5371 - Continuing Appropriations, Agriculture, Legislative Branch, Military Construction and Veterans Affairs, and Extensions Act, 2026,” https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/5371/text.
[33] CourtListener, “Supplemental Declaration of Stephen Billy,” American Federation of Government Employees,, AFL-CIO, et al., v. United States Office of Management and Budget, et al., Case No. 3:25-cv-08302-SI, October 14, 2025, https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.cand.457131/gov.uscourts.cand.457131.49.2.pdf.
[34] As of December 2025, the most recent data made available by the Administration through the OPM FedScope dataset (which comprehensively shows changes at an agency and sub-agency level) only covered changes in personnel levels through March 2025 and did not distinguish between current employees and the tens of thousands of workers who had already been placed on paid administrative leave prior to departure. Ironically, the Administration eliminated the office that oversaw these federal data through threatened layoffs earlier in 2025, creating some concern about the timeliness and quality of future releases. See Elizabeth Byers and Brandon Lardy, “Latest FedScope data offers a glimpse into federal workforce changes under DOGE and raises transparency concerns,” Partnership for Public Service, July 10, 2025, https://ourpublicservice.org/blog/new-fedscope-data-2025-opm-federal-workforce-changes-doge-trump-administration/; Ronnie Dungan, “'Flying blind': DOGE axes gov HR data team covering 2 million federal workers,” HR Grapevine, April 16, 2025, https://www.hrgrapevine.com/us/content/article/2025-04-16-federal-hr-data-team-axed-amid-sweeping-job-cuts.
[35] For details, see the Methodology section of the Partnership for Public Service’s “Federal Harms Tracker.” Partnership for Public Service, “Federal Harms Tracker: The Cost to Your Government,” https://ourpublicservice.org/federal-harms-tracker/cost-to-your-government.
[36] Treasury Inspector General for Tax Administration, “Snapshot Report: IRS Workforce Reductions as of May 2025,” July 18, 2025, https://www.tigta.gov/sites/default/files/reports/2025-08/2025ier027fr.pdf and USDA Office of Inspector General, “U.S. Department of Agriculture Staffing Levels,” December 17, 2025, https://usdaoig.oversight.gov/reports/other/us-department-agriculture-staffing-levels.
[37] Partnership for Public Service. Because the tracking could not account for new hires by agency, the Partnership for Public Service’s “Federal Harms Tracker” does not provide an estimate of net losses. Thus, the tracker’s figure of 212,000 total planned departures through December 16, 2025 is best considered in relation to the 317,000 total separations announced by OPM Director Kupor as projected through December 2025, rather than the 249,000 net reduction. Similarly, the tracker does not account for subsequent changes in policy, reinstatements, or judicial reversals that may occur after departures are reported or announced, so it slightly overstates departures in some instances. It also necessarily faces a limitation in not being able to account for separations (whether voluntary or involuntary) that are not reported or announced.
[38] Stephanie Wright, “Here’s a look at federal agencies’ shutdown contingency plans,” Federal News Network, September 30, 2025, https://federalnewsnetwork.com/government-shutdown/2025/09/heres-a-look-at-federal-agencies-contingency-plans-as-shutdown-looms/.
[39] OPM, “Release Notes,” January 8, 2026, https://data.opm.gov/info-and-help/release-notes.