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POLICY INSIGHT
BEYOND THE NUMBERS

Required Reading on the Payroll Tax Cut — and Much More

Policymakers debating whether to extend and expand the payroll tax cut for working families and pay for it with a modest surtax on people with income above $1 million would be well advised to read a Bloomberg op-ed by Nick Hanauer, a wealthy and extremely successful entrepreneur and venture capitalist.

Describing the growing economic insecurity among millions of middle-class families, Hanauer points out the risks that three decades of burgeoning income inequality pose to the economy as a whole:

If the average American family still got the same share of income they earned in 1980, they would have an astounding $13,000 more in their pockets a year.  It’s worth pausing to consider what our economy would be like today if middle-class consumers had that additional income to spend.

Our post on this “great income shift” last year included the table below, which shows how the shift has benefited those at the very top of the income ladder.

Impact on Average Incomes of Change in Income Distribution
Between 1979 and 2007
Income Group Actual Average
Income in 2007
Average Income if
All Income Levels Had
Enjoyed Equal Growth
Since 1979
Gain or Loss
From Income Shift
Since 1979
Bottom Fifth $17,700 $23,700 -$6,000
Second Fifth $38,000 $48,000 -$10,000
Middle Fifth $55,300 $68,300 -$13,000
Fourth Fifth $77,700 $89,400 -$11,700
Top Fifth $198,300 $157,600 $40,700
Top 1 Percent $1,319,700 $537,100 $782,600

To be sure, average incomes grew at all income levels from 1979 to 2007, according to data from the Congressional Budget Office.  But, because incomes grew very strongly at the top but only modestly at best for other income groups, the wealthiest Americans now enjoy a much larger share of total income.  If incomes among all groups had grown at the same rate over this period, households in the middle would have $13,000 more in average annual income.  See the graph below:

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12-1-11tax.jpg

Hanauer then sums up the case for putting a priority on middle-class paychecks:

Consider, for example, that a puny 3 percent surtax on incomes above $1 million would be enough to maintain and expand the current payroll tax cut beyond December, preventing a $1,000 increase on the average worker’s taxes at the worst possible time for the economy.

Finally, he debunks the argument that policymakers’ top priority should be to advance the tax interests of the nation’s wealthiest households:

We’ve had it backward for the last 30 years.  Rich businesspeople like me don’t create jobs. Middle-class consumers do, and when they thrive, U.S. businesses grow and profit.  That’s why taxing the rich to pay for investments that benefit all is a great deal for both the middle class and the rich.

So let’s give a break to the true job creators. Let’s tax the rich like we once did and use that money to spur growth by putting purchasing power back in the hands of the middle class. And let’s remember that capitalists without customers are out of business.

Hanauer’s op-ed contains a number of other points and is a must-read in full.

Chuck Marr
Vice President for Federal Tax Policy