June 2, 2005

by Jason Furman

PDF of report

View Related Reports

If you cannot access the files through the links, right-click on the underlined text, click "Save Link As," download to your directory, and open the document in Adobe Acrobat Reader.

Some, including President Bush, have pointed to the experience of Galveston, Texas as demonstrating why private accounts should be incorporated into Social Security.  In 1981, Galveston and two other Texas counties opted out of Social Security and established their own substitute Social Security systems for county employees.[1]  Their plans provide retirement, survivors, and disability benefits.

These plans, however, do not provide evidence that the President’s approach could be successful, for three basic reasons.

The remainder of this brief analysis explains in more detail why the experience in Galveston has little relevance to the current national Social Security debate and why claims that the Galveston experience shows that we should move to private accounts are erroneous.


The Galveston Plan Bears Little Resemblance to the President’s Plan

The President has proposed voluntary private accounts.  Workers would manage their own money, with limited investment choices.  A retiree’s benefit would depend on how his or her investments performed.  The President has argued strongly against government investment of the Social Security trust fund.

The Galveston Plan, however, is government investment, not private investment.  Workers have no say over the investments, and the earnings on the government investment inure to the benefit of the retirement fund as a whole, not to individual workers.  In addition, participation in the plan is mandatory.[4] 

The President has ruled out any increase in the payroll tax rate, stating that his plan needs to be funded entirely out of the current 12.4 percent payroll tax.  But Galveston county raised the payroll tax rate to 13.9 percent when it opted out of Social Security.[5]


Retirement Benefits Are Generally Lower Under the Galveston Plan

The Galveston plan does not provide any benefits for spouses or other dependents of retirees.  Nor does it provide any redistribution from higher earners to lower earners.  In addition, the Galveston Plan fails to provide an inflation-indexed annuity — participants can choose a combination of lump-sum payments or a variety of fixed annuities that do not increase with inflation (and thus that erode in value over the course of a beneficiary’s retirement years).  Finally, the Galveston plan allows early withdrawal of account balances in several cases (such as serious illnesses or certain other problems), which reduces the ability of the plan as a whole to provide income for as long as beneficiaries live and thereby increases the plan’s costs.  (This is one of the reasons that the tax rate is higher under the Galveston plan than under Social Security, even though the retirement benefits are generally lower under the Galveston plan.) 

The Social Security Administration’s Office of Policy conducted a study of the Galveston plan.  It found that benefits under the plan are generally inferior to those that Social Security provides:[6]

The Social Security Administration study also found that the comparison of disability and survivors benefits under the Galveston plan to those that Social Security provides depends on an individual’s specific circumstances, but that in general, people who receive these benefits for longer periods of time would be worse off under the Galveston plan because the benefits under that plan fail to keep pace with inflation.


Galveston Cannot Provide a Model for National Social Security Reform

When Galveston county opted out of Social Security, it was essentially “free riding” on the rest of the country.  Galveston county workers do not provide any contributions to support current Social Security beneficiaries, including former Galveston county workers who retired prior to implementation of the county’s system in 1981.  Only about 5,000 employees participate in the plans run by Galveston and the two other Texas counties opting out of Social Security,[7] so these counties’ opting out of Social Security has a negligible impact on the finances of the program as a whole.

But the Galveston model would be impossible to replicate on a national scale.  If Americans in general redirected all of their payroll taxes into new private plans, there would be no tax revenue left to pay the $500 billion in annual benefits promised to Social Security’s 45 million current beneficiaries.  Those benefits consequently would have to be funded by income taxes or an entirely new tax, such as a Value Added Tax.  Even if the new private plans appeared to provide a better deal than traditional Social Security (which is not case with the Galveston plan), that apparent free lunch would evaporate once the cost of the additional taxes needed to support current beneficiaries was factored into the equation.

End Notes:

[1] Prior to the 1983, states and municipalities could opt of Social Security.  The 1983 Social Security legislation ended this practice but grandfathered in states and municipalities that had already opted out of Social Security.

[2] Galveston also has a supplementary pension plan, comparable to state and local government pension plans.

[3] Theresa Wilson, Office of Policy, Social Security Administration, “The Galveston Plan and Social Security:  A Comparative Analysis of Two Systems,” Social Security Bulletin, 62:1, 1999.

[4] Galveston is a defined contribution plan only in the sense that workers’ ultimate retirement benefits are a function of their contributions plus the interest earned on the trust fund.

[5] Workers contribute 6.1 percent, and the county contributes 7.8 percent.  Economists agree that the employer share of such taxes is effectively borne by the employees.

[6] Theresa Wilson, Office of Policy, Social Security Administration, “The Galveston Plan and Social Security:  A Comparative Analysis of Two Systems,” Social Security Bulletin, 62:1, 1999.

[7] Kris Axtman, “No Plan is an Island: Galveston’s Experiment,” Christian Science Monitor, May 4, 2005, p. 3.