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“Dynamic” Estimates Are Highly Uncertain, Subject to Manipulation

November 17, 2014

An American Action Forum event today to promote “dynamic scoring” for tax and spending legislation unintentionally illustrates what Chye-Ching Huang and I explain in a newly updated paper:  estimates of the macroeconomic...

Boehner, McConnell Mislead on Health Reform’s Employer Mandate

November 7, 2014

House Speaker Boehner and Senate Minority Leader McConnell called this week for a major change in health reform’s requirement that larger employers offer health coverage to employees who work 30 or more hours a week or face a penalty.  Claiming that the 30-hour threshold is “...

Latest CRS Findings Refute Scare Talk About Medical Device Tax

November 6, 2014

With congressional Republicans reportedly planning a renewed push to repeal the medical device tax, a Congressional Research Service report updated...

Medicare and Medicaid Should Be Protected in Trade Agreements

October 22, 2014

CBPP, AARP, the AFL-CIO, Consumers Union, and ten other national organizations have written to the U.S. Trade Representative asking that Medicare, Medicaid, and other health programs be excluded from the investor-state dispute settlement (ISDS) provisions of pending trade agreements.

ISDS would give...

Health Reform Reduces the Deficit, Contrary to Senate GOP Analysis

October 21, 2014

A recent analysis by Senate Budget Committee Republican staff that claims health reform will increase the deficit rests on two dubious propositions.  Under more reasonable assumptions, health reform will reduce the deficit, as the Congressional Budget Office...

Reassessing a View on Federal Accounting

September 26, 2014

So-called “fair-value accounting” is misguided because it would make federal loan and loan guarantee programs look more expensive than they really are, as my colleague Richard Kogan and I have explained.  Jason Delisle and Jason Richwine, writing in the latest issue of...

Census Report Shows Rise in Full-Time Work, Undercutting Claims by Health Reform Opponents

September 17, 2014

Yesterday’s Census Bureau report shows that the share of workers with full-time, full-year work rose in 2013, while the share with part-time, part-year work fell.  This finding further undercuts assertions that health reform is causing a large increase in part-time employment — as proponents of a...

“Generational Accounting” Spreads Confusion

August 1, 2014

“Generational accounting” purports to compare the effects of federal budget policies on people born in different years.  But, contrary to economist Lawrence Kotlikoff’s New York Times op-ed promoting a bill...

Social Security’s #1 Priority: Raise Share of Payroll Tax Going to Disability Insurance

July 29, 2014

The Social Security trustees’ new report shows why the program’s immediate priority should be to raise the share of payroll taxes allocated to Disability Insurance (DI) and lower the share allocated to Old-Age and Survivors Insurance to keep the DI trust fund from...

New Chart Book Paints Picture of Disability Insurance

July 21, 2014

The Senate Finance Committee will hold a hearing this Thursday on Social Security Disability Insurance (DI).  We’ve just released a new chart book about DI.  Its more than 20 figures illustrate the...

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