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Posts by Chad Stone

Trump’s Unrealistic Expectations for Economic Growth

September 16, 2016

Donald Trump’s economic team says his economic plan would raise annual economic growth to 3.5 percent (it’s averaged 2.1 percent since the economy emerged from recession in mid-2009).  Trump himself says...

4% Not a Realistic Target for Future Growth

Reforming Federal Coal-Leasing Policy Would Benefit Taxpayers and Environment

June 29, 2016

My latest post for U.S. News & World Report describes how current coal-leasing policies on federal land fail key economic tests, drawing on a new...

Smokestack and Black Smoke

House Resolution Against Carbon Tax Woefully Off-Base

June 8, 2016

The House is expected to vote on a resolution this week expressing that “a carbon tax would be detrimental to the United States economy.” That contrasts sharply with the findings of knowledgeable scientists and economists.

Scientists recognize that unabated greenhouse gas pollution from burning carbon-...

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Obama Budget Modernizes Policies for Unemployed Workers

February 11, 2016

The President’s budget includes a very welcome suite of proposals to modernize assistance for workers who lose their jobs through no fault of their own.  The proposals recognize that today’s labor market is vastly different from the one for which...

Job Application in Blue

Previewing the January Jobs Report

February 4, 2016

Those brave enough to predict think that tomorrow’s jobs report will show a net gain of 188,000 payroll jobs (compared with 292,000 in December) and an unchanged 5.0 percent unemployment rate.  Unless tomorrow’s numbers are substantially different from that, they shouldn’t change the prevailing narrative that labor market conditions continue to...

Job Seeking

Previewing the December Jobs Report

January 7, 2016

Tomorrow’s December jobs report is the first since Federal Reserve policymakers lifted their target for short-term interest rates off zero.   That’s a very small step, and policymakers didn’t claim that the labor market was fully healed.  If they remain true to their word, the path of future rate hikes...

Total Unemployed Plus All Marginally Attached Workers Dec 15

What Will the Fed Look at in the November Jobs Report?

December 3, 2015

All signs point to the Federal Reserve taking its first baby step to raise interest rates later this month, irrespective of what’s in tomorrow’s jobs report.  But the jobs report will continue to bear watching as a critical determinant of the Fed’s pace of future rate changes.

Fed...

November Labor Market Slack

The Truth About Corporate Income Taxes

November 13, 2015

My latest post for the US News & World Report Economic Intelligence blog provides a reality check on corporate income taxes.  Here are some excerpts:

Are you...

Skyscrapers

What to Look at in the October Jobs Report

November 5, 2015

No one knows how tomorrow’s October jobs report will affect Federal Reserve policymakers’ views about whether to start raising interest rates in December.  But here are some things to consider in assessing whether the job market is making the “continued progress toward maximum employment” that the Fed wants to see.

In Focus: Employment - Population Ratio

What to Watch for in Tomorrow’s Jobs Report

October 1, 2015

Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen recently noted two salient facts about the labor market that tomorrow’s jobs report won’t change:

The labor market has achieved considerable progress over the past several years. Even so, further improvement in labor market conditions would be welcome because

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UE Rate Oct 2015

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