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HOW A "CLIMATE REBATE" WOULD WORK
Policies that restrict greenhouse-gas emissions will significantly raise the price of fossil-fuel energy products. That’s necessary to encourage energy efficiency and greater use of clean energy sources, but it will pose serious challenges for low- and moderate-income households. Even a modest 15 percent reduction in greenhouse-gas emissions would cost the poorest fifth of Americans an average of $750 a year per household. These households have average annual incomes of only about $13,000.
The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities has designed a “climate rebate” that would offset the impact of higher energy-related prices on low- and moderate-income consumers. A climate rebate returns to consumers the purchasing power they would lose due to the higher prices, thus avoiding substantial hardship. And a rebate can be delivered without creating large new programs or bureaucracies. Here’s how it would work.
The basics: Each month, a climate rebate would be delivered to very low-income households through the Electronic Benefit Transfer (EBT) systems — which are essentially debit cards — that states already use to provide food stamps and other forms of assistance to low-income families, the elderly, and others.
At the same time, low- and moderate-income working families would receive a climate rebate in the form of a higher Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC). Any household filing for an EITC on its federal tax return would automatically receive a climate rebate as part of its tax refund for that year.
Who would be eligible? The EBT form of the rebate would automatically be provided to the millions of households that receive food stamps or the low-income subsidy for the Medicare prescription drug benefit. Households that are financially eligible for these programs but don’t participate in them could apply for the climate rebate through their state human services agency. The EITC form of the rebate would go to anyone who is eligible for the EITC and files a federal tax return.
How much would the rebate be worth? The rebate would be set annually by the Energy Information Administration and would equal the loss in purchasing power that the average household in the bottom fifth of the population would experience due to the effects of higher prices for home energy, gasoline, food, and other goods and services resulting from the emissions cap. Larger families would receive larger rebates. The dollar amount of the rebate would go up over time, as the emissions cap tightened and energy prices rose.
How many people would get rebates? The EBT/EITC approach would generally make assistance available to the approximately 60 million Americans in the “bottom quintile” (the lowest-income 20 percent of the population). For a family of three, these are households with incomes below $27,000. About three-fourths of these households would be helped automatically, with no need for additional outreach, because they already receive food stamps, the EITC or the Medicare low-income drug subsidy.
More than 20 million Americans in the next-to-bottom quintile would also receive rebates, which would phase down at the same income levels as the EITC. In 2007, the EITC completely phased out at about $40,000 for a married couple with two children, and $15,000 for workers without children.
How could the rebates be paid for? Climate-change policies can generate more than enough revenue to pay for the rebates. The rebates described here would cost only about 14 percent of the total value of the emissions allowances in a cap-and-trade system (or 14 percent of the revenues generated by a carbon tax). Of this 14 percent, one percent should be used to boost funding for the Low-Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP) and the Weatherization Assistance Program, particularly for families facing above-average energy costs.
Would low-income people still have an incentive to conserve energy?Absolutely. They would still face higher prices for energy-related products, and would therefore have a strong incentive to conserve and seek out energy efficiency improvements. The idea is not to have utility bills go down, but rather to prevent a loss in purchasing power, which leads to the best of both worlds — incentives to conserve remain but families are protected against poverty and hardship.
Why are rebates more effective than relying on utility company programs or LIHEAP? Relying on utility companies to assist their low-income customers is particularly ill-advised. Utility companies generally don’t know their customers’ incomes, so they can’t easily identify which ones have low incomes. Also, reducing utility bills won’t help households cope with increases in other energy-related costs, such as gasoline, food, or rents (when utilities are built into the rent, as they are for about 20 percent of low-income households). In fact, less than half of the impact of climate-change policies stems from higher home energy costs.
LIHEAP is an important program, but it has a limited reach. It serves only one in seven of those eligible, and is narrowly tied to utility bills. LIHEAP (and weatherization assistance) can, however, play a useful role in supplementing rebates for low-income consumers facing above-average energy costs.
Could the middle class get climate rebates too?If sufficient resources are made available, climate rebates could be extended to the middle class as well. For about half of the total value of the emissions allowances under a cap-and-trade system, for example, one could provide full climate rebates to households in the bottom 60 percent of the income scale, and partial rebates to the next 20 percent; married couples making up to about $100,000 a year (and single filers making up to about $50,000) would get at least a partial rebate. (Under such an approach, the EBT mechanism would still be needed to reach very low-income households who do not file tax returns, but the EITC increase could be replaced with a broader refundable climate change tax credit.) Alternatively, if sufficient resources were available, one could use all of the emissions allowances to issue an equal “climate dividend” to every American.
For a fuller discussion of these issues, see Designing Climate-Change Legislation that Shields Low-Income Households from Increased Poverty and Hardship, online at http://www.cbpp.org/10-25-07climate.htm.
TABLE 1: Households That Would Automatically Receive a Climate Rebate, by State
State
EITC Claimants
Households Receiving Food Stamps
Individuals Receiving Medicare Low-Income Drug Subsidy
Total Households Receiving Climate Rebate (estimated unduplicated count)
Alabama
502,914
227,917
223,873
757,000
Alaska
41,578
21,578
14,123
62,000
Arizona
413,730
248,027
151,059
644,000
Arkansas
287,085
158,388
132,230
466,000
California
2,501,510
888,017
1,151,602
3,502,000
Colorado
274,839
107,477
91,305
377,000
Connecticut
172,838
118,524
99,823
317,000
Delaware
59,692
32,441
24,132
92,000
District of Columbia
50,041
47,552
20,548
96,000
Florida
1,631,758
714,471
588,556
2,272,000
Georgia
905,365
402,330
290,386
1,264,000
Hawaii
87,540
47,675
35,081
136,000
Idaho
106,143
39,629
34,904
141,000
Illinois
884,010
591,004
337,857
1,471,000
Indiana
446,347
261,914
169,801
715,000
Iowa
177,348
113,657
82,429
303,000
Kansas
181,348
84,472
67,468
268,000
Kentucky
352,878
282,257
192,758
678,000
Louisiana
494,289
273,545
187,217
775,000
Maine
88,923
85,311
81,512
211,000
Maryland
352,221
162,028
121,704
497,000
Massachusetts
319,973
258,234
243,275
662,000
Michigan
680,765
580,679
268,807
1,260,000
Minnesota
272,171
140,226
125,648
429,000
Mississippi
376,998
185,317
159,999
581,000
Missouri
451,570
310,894
194,923
782,000
Montana
74,627
35,249
25,210
109,000
Nebraska
113,877
52,111
43,748
168,000
Nevada
169,055
64,614
46,858
218,000
New Hampshire
64,012
30,637
31,501
101,000
New Jersey
501,105
206,432
222,898
732,000
New Mexico
199,825
93,092
67,122
289,000
New York
1,527,318
987,397
721,725
2,599,000
North Carolina
788,523
412,073
339,266
1,228,000
North Dakota
40,222
21,684
17,495
64,000
Ohio
815,691
520,328
314,205
1,340,000
Oklahoma
318,879
175,486
122,182
501,000
Oregon
231,934
236,825
95,307
472,000
Pennsylvania
799,335
551,729
394,456
1,434,000
Rhode Island
68,034
39,376
41,081
118,000
South Carolina
439,010
250,282
169,978
687,000
South Dakota
56,415
25,538
21,935
84,000
Tennessee
565,090
406,441
284,669
1,021,000
Texas
2,288,849
962,687
680,572
3,132,000
Utah
145,622
52,750
33,672
183,000
Vermont
38,824
27,279
25,710
74,000
Virginia
503,896
242,149
199,720
754,000
Washington
364,929
297,222
149,135
656,000
West Virginia
146,840
123,654
87,104
298,000
Wisconsin
309,552
172,062
138,303
500,000
Wyoming
33,208
9,631
10,881
43,000
Other Areas
29,085
13,040
9,413
Not Available
United States
22,747,631
12,393,332
9,385,166
35,562,000
Source: IRS data for 2005, USDA data on food stamp enrollment for January 2008, and HHS data on Medicare low-income drug subsidy enrollment for January 2008. Estimates of total households automatically receiving climate rebates are based on CBPP estimates of program overlap from Census Bureau data. (Additional households could receive climate rebates by signing up with their state human services agency or filing for the EITC.)
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820 First Street, NE, Suite 510
Washington, DC 20002
Ph: (202) 408-1080
Fax: (202) 408-1056