January 13, 2005

Public Services and TABOR in Colorado
By Nicholas Johnson and David H. Bradley

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Colorado’s Taxpayer Bill of Rights, or TABOR, is a 1992 constitutional amendment that sharply restricts the state’s ability to finance public services such as education, health and public safety.  Now some national anti-tax activists are touting TABOR as a model for other states.  As part of their justification, these activists are selectively citing national statistics by which Colorado compares favorably to other states.  For example, they cite the large tax rebates that Colorado has distributed due to TABOR requirements.

Not surprisingly, pro-TABOR activists fail to note the many measures by which Colorado is falling behind other states in education, health, public safety and other areas, in part as a result of TABOR-driven reductions in public services.  Listed below are comparisons that present the other side of TABOR — negative consequences that have occurred in Colorado in the twelve years since TABOR’s enactment.  To be sure, not all of these consequences are attributable solely to TABOR; for instance, per-pupil K-12 expenditures, which declined relative to the national average from 1992 to 2000, were on a downward path even before 1992.  Nor can it be said that the decline in K-12 spending is solely to blame for Colorado’s falling high-school graduation rate.  Nonetheless, the stringency of TABOR limits did remove the option of halting the decline in these services or of improving them.  These comparisons should give pause to other states considering enacting a TABOR-like measure.  (Sources are listed in the Appendix.)

 

After 12 Years of TABOR, Colorado Has Among the Nation’s Poorest Public Services

Although it has the nation’s seventh-highest per-capita personal income, Colorado performs poorly on key measures of public service provisions and outcomes.

 

Since TABOR Passed in 1992, Public Services and Outcomes Have Worsened in Colorado

 

Because of Budget Cuts since 2001, Outcomes Are Likely to Worsen in Colorado

At the same time, Colorado is required to refund $459 million to taxpayers this year while planning an additional $263 million in budget cuts for the coming fiscal year.

 

The Failure of Colorado Legislators to Address TABOR’s Damage Has Had Political Consequences for Elected Officials

 APPENDIX
Sources of Data

Per capita personal income (2003) — Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Accounts, http://www.bea.doc.gov/bea/regional/spi/.

Teacher pay in Colorado (2002-03) — American Federation of Teachers 2003 Survey & Analysis of Teacher Salary Trends,  http://www.aft.org/salary/2003/download/2003Table1.pdf.

Ratio of teacher salary to average private-sector earnings — AFT survey and U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, http://www.bls.gov/sae/home.htm.

State and local public K-12 education funding as a share of state income (2000-01) — National Education Association, Rankings & Estimates, May 2004, Table H-13, http://www.nea.org/edstats/images/04rankings.pdf, rankings computed from U.S. Census Bureau data and BEA data.

On-time vaccination rates (2003) — Centers for Disease Control, National Center for Health Statistics, Health, United States, 2004, Table 73.

Share of low-income individuals enrolled in Medicaid (2003) — CBPP analysis of U.S. Census Bureau Current Population Survey Data, Annual Demographic Supplement, 2004.

Colorado pediatricians treatment of children enrolled in Medicaid — The Children’s Hospital, State of the Health of Colorado’s Children, August 2004, Table 1.

 Colorado budget actions — John Ziegler, Colorado Joint Budget Committee (JBC) Staff, Memorandum to Members of the JBC, “Summary of Actions Taken to Balance Prior Year Budgets,” September 20, 2004.

Probation officer caseloads and court hearings — Colorado Judicial Department Fact Sheet: Colorado Judicial Layoffs and Realignments to Meet FY 2003-04 Funding Levels, June 18, 2003, cited in The Bell Policy Center, “Colorado TABOR Watch: Judicial Branch.”

Per pupil funding for K-12 education — CBPP calculations of data from the National Center for Education Statistics

High school graduation rate — United Health Foundation, America’s Health: State Health Rankings – 2004 Edition, http://www.unitedhealthfoundation.org/shr2004/states/Colorado.html

State support to colleges and universities in Colorado — CBPP calculations from data collected by the Center for the Study of Education Policy, Illinois State University.

State funds for higher education per $1,000 of personal income — Colorado Commission on Higher Education (CCHE) and the U.S. Department of Education.

Colorado uninsurance rate among low-income children and adults — CBPP analysis of U.S. Census Bureau Current Population Survey Data, Annual Demographic Supplement, 1992, 1993, 2003, 2004.

Access to adequate prenatal care — United Health Foundation, America’s Health: State Health Rankings – 2004 Edition, http://www.unitedhealthfoundation.org/shr2004/states/Colorado.html.

 On-time vaccination rate — Centers for Disease Control, National Center for Health Statistics, Health, United States, 2004, Table 73.

Reduced general fund support for alcohol and drug abuse, eliminated funds for full-day kindergarten, eliminated all state support to local and regional health agencies & cut Medicaid hospital reimbursement — John Ziegler, Colorado Joint Budget Committee (JBC) Staff, Memorandum to Members of the JBC, “Summary of Actions Taken to Balance Prior Year Budgets,” September 20, 2004.

Decreased mental health funding — TriWest Group, The Status of Mental Health Care in Colorado, 2003, http://www.thecoloradotrust.org/repository/publications/pdfs/MHCC/MHCCfinalreport.pdf.

Funding for the Controlled Maintenance Trust Fund and the Capital Construction Fund — State of Colorado, Legislative Council Staff, House Joint Resolution 03-1033 Study: TABOR, Amendment 23, the Gallagher Amendment, and Other Fiscal Issues, Chapter 6, http://www.state.co.us/gov_dir/leg_dir/lcsstaff/2003/research/FinalReport.pdf.

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